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Football Verified
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
by RolexEnds in 1 month$210.4K Vol120K Liq3.3K traders
Outcomes
5 outcomesBrazil
$75.7K Vol
16%
2.4%PriceQtyTotal
22.0¢9.65$2.12
20.5¢6.52$1.34
19.0¢8.07$1.53
17.8¢8.50$1.51
16.8¢5.98$1.00
Spread 1.6¢LTP 16.0¢
15.2¢9.94$1.51
13.8¢3.53$0.49
12.4¢10.74$1.33
10.8¢0.86$0.09
8.8¢10.86$0.96
France
$71.5K Vol
14%
4.4%PriceQtyTotal
20.0¢10.61$2.12
18.5¢4.14$0.77
17.0¢9.65$1.64
15.8¢6.52$1.03
14.8¢8.07$1.19
Spread 1.6¢LTP 14.0¢
13.2¢8.50$1.12
11.8¢5.98$0.71
10.4¢9.94$1.03
8.8¢3.52$0.31
6.8¢10.74$0.73
Argentina
$67.3K Vol
12%
3.4%PriceQtyTotal
18.0¢10.90$1.96
16.5¢1.52$0.25
15.0¢10.61$1.59
13.8¢4.15$0.57
12.8¢9.64$1.23
Spread 1.6¢LTP 12.0¢
11.2¢6.53$0.73
9.8¢8.07$0.79
8.4¢8.50$0.71
6.8¢5.98$0.41
4.8¢9.94$0.48
Portugal
$63.1K Vol
10%
2.4%PriceQtyTotal
16.0¢10.49$1.68
14.5¢1.99$0.29
13.0¢10.90$1.42
11.8¢1.52$0.18
10.8¢10.61$1.15
Spread 1.6¢LTP 10.0¢
9.2¢4.15$0.38
7.8¢9.64$0.75
6.4¢6.53$0.42
4.8¢8.06$0.39
2.8¢8.51$0.24
Germany
$61K Vol
9%
3.4%PriceQtyTotal
15.0¢10.03$1.50
13.5¢3.31$0.45
12.0¢10.78$1.29
10.8¢0.63$0.07
9.8¢10.84$1.06
Spread 1.6¢LTP 9.0¢
8.2¢2.86$0.23
6.8¢10.21$0.69
5.4¢5.38$0.29
3.8¢8.92$0.34
1.8¢7.58$0.14
Resolution Rules
This market resolves YES if at least one men's national team belonging to the Confederation of African Football (CAF) is officially recognized by FIFA as reaching the semi-final stage (Top Four) of the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup. "Semi-finals" is defined as the official knockout stage published by FIFA, regardless of how a team advanced. It resolves NO if no CAF team reaches that stage.
Comments (3)
Domestic_Bogeyman_ez2h ago
Morocco's 2022 run was historic, but the bracket math is brutal. No CAF side has the depth across 7 knockout games. Holding NO.
AirBee1h ago
Expanded 48-team format = more paths. I think you're underpricing the upset variance.
IfritSuperior72785h ago
Loaded YES at 16¢. Asymmetric bet — small downside, huge payout if it hits.